Злой рок. Политика катастроф

Фергюсон Ниал

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900

Lawrence Wright, The End of October (New York: Random House, 2020). Эта книга предположительно была завершена в 2019 г.

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901

Peter Frankopan, «We Live in the Age of the Pandemic. This Is What We Need to Do About It», Prospect, December 8, 2019, https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/pandemic-likelihood-preparednessukwho-global.

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902

A. S. Fauci,

«Infectious Diseases: Considerations for the 21st Century», IDSA lecture, Clinical Infectious Diseases 32 (2001), pp. 675–678. О трудностях с противотуберкулезными вакцинами см.: Morven E. M. Wilkie and Helen McShane, «TB Vaccine Development: Where Are We and Why Is It So Difficult?» Thorax 70 (2015), pp. 299–301, https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2014-205202.

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903

David M. Morens et al., «The Challenge of Emerging and Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 430 (July 8, 2004), pp. 242–249; Robin A. Weiss, «The Leeuwenhoek Lecture, 2001: Animal Origins of Human Infectious Diseases», Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society Biological Sciences 356 (2001), pp. 957-77. См. также: Dorothy H. Crawford, Deadly Companions: How Microbes Shaped Our History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007), pp. 214f.

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904

K. E. Jones et al., «Global Trends in Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 451 (February 2008), pp. 990–994.

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905

Vittoria Colizza et al., «The Role of the Airline Transportation Network in the Prediction and Predictability of Global Epidemics», PNAS 103, no. 7 (2006), pp. 2015–2020. См. также: Globalization 101, «Health and Globalization», SUNY Levin Institute, http://www.globalization101.org.

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906

Stephen S. Morse, «Emerging Viruses: Defining the Rules for Viral Traffic», Perspectives in Biology and Medicine 34, no. 3 (1991), pp. 387–409; Joshua Lederberg, «Infectious Diseases as an Evolutionary Paradigm», Emerging Infectious Diseases 3, no. 4 (December 1997), pp. 417–423. См. также: Mark Honigsbaum, The Pandemic Century: A History of Global Contagion from the Spanish Flu to Covid-19 (London: Penguin, 2020), pp. 165f.

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907

D. Campbell-Lendrum, «Global Climate Change: Implications for International Public Health Policy», Bulletin of the World Health Organization 85, no. 3 (2007), pp. 235–237.

См. также: World Health Organization, Climate Change and Human Health: Risks and Responses, Summary (Geneva: WHO, 2003).

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908

Kristian G. Andersen et al., «The Proximal Origin of SARS-CoV2», Nature Medicine 26 (2020), pp. 450–452, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-08209.

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909

Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza».

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910

Barabasi, Network Science, chap. 10.

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911

J. O. Lloyd-Smith et al., «Superspreading and the Effect of Individual Variation on Disease Emergence», Nature 438 (2005), pp. 355–359, https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04153.

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912

См. в целом: Thomas Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague: The Story of SARS (Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2007).

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913

Тяжелый острый респираторный синдром (англ.).

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914

Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague, p. 87.

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915

Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague, pp. 101–104.

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916

Richard D. Smith, «Responding to Global Infectious Disease Outbreaks: Lessons from SARS on the Role of Risk Perception, Communication and Management», Social Science and Medicine 63 (2006), pp. 3113–3123.

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917

V. Rossi and John Walker, «Assessing the Economic Impact and Costs of Flu Pandemics Originating in Asia», Oxford Economic Forecasting Group (2005), pp. 1-23.

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918

«COVID-19 Science Update for March 27^th: Super-Spreaders and the Need for New Prediction Models», Quillette, March 27, 2020, https://quillette.com/2020/03/27/covid19science-update-for-march27super-spreaders-and-the-need-for-new-prediction-models/.

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919

Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza», table 1.