Злой рок. Политика катастроф
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Kimberly A. Prather, Chia C. Wang, and Robert T. Schooley, «Reducing Transmission of SARS-CoV2», Science 368, no. 6498, June 26, 2020, pp. 1422–1424, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc6197; Richard O. J. H. Stutt et al., «A Modelling Framework to Assess the Likely Effectiveness of Facemasks in Combination with ‘Lock-Down’ in Managing the COVID-19 Pandemic», Proceedings of the Royal Society 476, no. 2238 (June 10, 2020), pp. 1-21, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2020.0376. Неубедительные аргументы против масок: Graham P. Martin, Esmee Hanna, and Robert Dingwall, «Face Masks for the Public During COVID-19: An Appeal for Caution in Policy», SocArXiv, April 25, 2020, pp. 1–7, https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/uyzxe.
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Qian Hua et al.,
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Jordan Peccia et al., «SARS-CoV2 RNA Concentrations in Primary Municipal Sewage Sludge as a Leading Indicator of COVID-19 Outbreak Dynamics», MedRxiv, June 12, 2020, pp. 1-12, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.19.20105999; Li Yun-yun, Wang Jixiang, and Chen Xi, «Can a Toilet Promote Virus Transmission? From a Fluid Dynamics Perspective», Physics of Fluids 32, no. 6, June 16, 2020, pp. 1-15, https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0013318.
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Авторы многочисленных статей следовали этой гипотезе, вероятно, неправильной. См.: Wang Jingyuan et al., «High Temperature and High Humidity Reduce the Transmission of COVID-19», May 22, 2020, pp. 1-33, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3551767; Ma Yueling et al., «Effects of Temperature Variation and Humidity on the Mortality of COVID-19 in Wuhan», MedRxiv, March 18, 2020, pp. 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.15.20036426; Qi Hongchao et al., «COVID-19 Transmission in Mainland China Is Associated with Temperature and Humidity: A Time-Series Analysis», MedRxiv, March 30, 2020, pp. 1-19, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20044099; Mohammad M. Sajadi et al., «Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19», April 6, 2020, pp. 1-18, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550308; Kyle Meng, «Research: Working Papers», http://www.kylemeng.com/research; Qasim Bukhari and Yusuf Jameel, «Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer?» April 18, 2020, pp. 1-15, available at SSRN, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3556998; Mohammad M. Sajadi et al., «Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Estimate Potential Spread and Seasonality of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)», JAMA Network Open 3, no. 6 (June 11, 2020), pp. 1-11, https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.11834.
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Cristina Menni et al., «Real-Time Tracking of Self-Reported Symptoms to Predict Potential COVID19», Nature Medicine 26 (May 11, 2020), pp. 1037–1040, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-09162; Tyler Wagner et al., «Augmented Curation of Medical Notes from a Massive EHR System Reveals Symptoms of Impending COVID-19 Diagnosis», MedRxiv, June 11, 2020, pp. 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.19.20067660.
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Henrik Salje et al., «Estimating the Burden of SARS-CoV2 in France», Science 369, no. 6500 (July 10, 2020), pp. 208–211, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc3517.
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Liu Xiaoqing et al.,
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Derek Thompson, «COVID-19 Cases Are Rising, So Why Are Deaths Flatlining?» Atlantic, July 9, 2020, https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/07/why-covid-death-rate-down/613945/.
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Maximilian Ackermann et al., «Pulmonary Vascular Endothelialitis, Thrombosis, and Angiogenesis in COVID-19», New England Journal of Medicine (henceforth NEJM) 383 (July 9, 2020), pp. 120–128, https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2015432.
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Jennifer Beam Dowd et al., «Demographic Science Aids in Understanding the Spread and Fatality Rates of COVID-19», PNAS 117, no. 18 (May 5, 2020), pp. 9696–9698, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004911117.
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Jason Douglas and Daniel Michaels, «New Data Reveal Just How Deadly COVID-19 Is for the Elderly», Wall Street Journal, June 27, 2020, https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-data-reveal-just-how-deadly-covid19isfor-the-elderly-11593250200.
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Graziano Onder, Giovanni Rezza, and Silvio Brusaferro, «Case-Fatality Rate and Characteristics of Patients Dying in Relation to COVID-19 in Italy», JAMA 323, no. 18 (March 23, 2020), pp. 1775–1776, https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.4683; Giacomo Grasselli et al., «Baseline Characteristics and Outcomes of 1591 Patients Infected with SARS-CoV2 Admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy Region, Italy», JAMA 323, no. 16 (April 6, 2020), pp. 1574–1581, https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.5394.
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Annemarie B. Docherty et al., «Features of 16,749 Hospitalised UK Patients with COVID-19 Using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol», MedRxiv, April 28, 2020, pp. 1-21, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.23.20076042; Elizabeth Williamson et al., «OpenSAFELY: Factors Associated with COVID-19 Related Hospital Death in the Linked Electronic Health Records of 17 Million Adult NHS Patients», MedRxiv, May 7, 2020, pp. 1-22, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.06.20092999. См. также: Tom Whipple and Kat Lay, «Diabetes Sufferers Account for Quarter of Hospital Coronavirus Deaths», Times (London), May 15, 2020, https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/diabetes-sufferers-account-for-quarterofhospital-coronavirus-deaths-lpf2rnkpf.
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Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2»; Christopher M. Petrilli et al., «Factors Associated with Hospitalization and Critical Illness Among 4,103 Patients with COVID-19 Disease in New York City», MedRxiv, April 11, 2020, pp. 1-25, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20057794. См. также: Paul Overberg and Jon Kamp, «U. S. Deaths Are Up Sharply, Though COVID-19’s Precise Toll Is Murky», Wall Street Journal, May 15, 2020, https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19s-exact-tollismurky-thoughusdeaths-areupsharply-11589555652.