Злой рок. Политика катастроф

Фергюсон Ниал

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1308

Karin Modig and Marcus Ebeling, «Excess Mortality from COVID-19: Weekly Excess Death Rates by Age and Sex for Sweden», MedRxiv, May 15, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.10.20096909.

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1309

«Mobilitatsindikatoren auf Basis von Mobilfunkdaten: Experimentelle Daten», Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), August 3, 2020, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Service/EXDAT/Datensaetze/mobilitaetsindikatoren-mobilfunkdaten.html.

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1310

Alistair Haimes, «It’s Hurting but It’s Just Not Working», The Critic, April 24, 2020, https://thecritic.co.uk/its-hurting-but-its-just-not-working/; Fraser Nelson,

«The Threat Has Passed, So Why Are Our Civil Liberties Still Suspended?» Daily Telegraph, June 18, 2020, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/06/18/threat-has-passed-civil-liberties-still-suspended/.

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1311

Justin McCarthy, «Americans Differ Greatly in Readiness to Return to Normal», Gallup, April 30, 2020, https://news.gallup.com/poll/309578/americans-differ-greatly-readiness-return-normal.aspx.

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1312

Apple Maps, «Mobility Trends Reports», https://www.apple.com/covid19/mobility. О разнице в поведении демократов и республиканцев см., напр.: Marcus Painter and Tian Qiu, «Political Beliefs Affect Compliance with COVID-19 Social Distancing Orders», VoxEU & CEPR, May 11, 2020, https://voxeu.org/article/political-beliefs-and-compliance-social-distancing-orders.

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1313

Matthew Cleevely et al., «Stratified Periodic Testing: A Workable Testing Strategy for COVID-19», VoxEU & CEPR, May 6, 2020, https://voxeu.org/article/stratified-periodic-testing-covid19; Edward Luce, «Inside Trump’s Coronavirus Meltdown», Financial Times, May 13, 2020,https://www.ft.com/ content/97dc7de6– 940b-11ea-abcd-371e24b679ed;Abbott and Douglas, “How Deadly Is COVID-19?”

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1314

Luca Ferretti et al., «Quantifying SARS-CoV2 Transmission Suggests Epidemic Control with Digital Contact Tracing», Science 368, no. 6491 (May 8, 2020), https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb6936; https://hbr.org/2020/04/how-digital-contact-tracing-slowed-covid19ineast-asia; Huang Yasheng, Sun Meicen, and Sui Yuze, «How Digital Contact Tracing Slowed COVID-19 in East Asia», Harvard Business Review, April 15, 2020, https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1890; Sharon Otterman, «N. Y. C. Hired 3,000 Workers for Contact Tracing. It’s Off to a Slow Start», New York Times, June 21, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/21/nyregion/nyc-contact-tracing.html; I. Glenn Cohen, Lawrence O. Gostin, and Daniel J. Weitzner, «Digital Smartphone Tracking for COVID-19: Public Health and Civil Liberties in Tension», JAMA 323, no. 23 (May 27, 2020), pp. 2371–2372, https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2766675; Swathikan Chidambaram et al., «Observational Study of UK Mobile Health Apps for COVID-19», Lancet Digital Health 2 (June 24, 2020), pp. E388 – E390, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589–7500 (20) 301448.

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1315

Tomas Pueyo, «Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance», Medium, March 19, 2020, https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56.

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1316

Derek Watkins et al.,

«How the Virus Won», New York Times, June 25, 2020, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-spread.html.

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1317

John H. Cochrane, «Dumb Reopening Just Might Work», The Grumpy Economist (blog), May 4, 2020, https://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2020/05/dumb-reopening-might-just-work.html; John H. Cochrane, «An SIR Model with Behavior», The Grumpy Economist (blog), May 4, 2020, https://johnhco chrane.blogspot.com/2020/05/ansir-model-with-behavior.html.

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1318

Austan Goolsbee and Chad Syverson, «Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020», NBER Working Paper No. 27432 (June 2020), https://doi.org/10.3386/w27432.

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1319

Chetan Ahya, «The Coronavirus Recession: Sharper but Shorter», Morgan Stanley Ideas, May 12, 2020, https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/coronavirus-impactonglobal-growth; Gavyn Davies, «After Lockdowns, Economic Sunlight or a Long Hard Slog?» Financial Times, May 3, 2020, https://www.ft.com/content/f2b79b3a-8ae5-11ea-9dcb-fe6871f4145a.

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1320

Gita Gopinath, «The Great Lockdown: Worst Economic Downturn Since the Great Depression», IMFBlog, April 14, 2020, https://blogs.imf.org/2020/04/14/the-great-lockdown-worst-economic-downturn-since-the-great-depression/; Gita Gopinath, «Reopening From the Great Lockdown: Uneven and Uncertain Recovery», IMFBlog, June 24, 2020, https://blogs.imf.org/2020/06/24/reopening-from-the-great-lockdown-uneven-and-uncertain-recovery/; James Politi, «Emerging Economies Forecast to Shrink for First Time in 60 Years», Financial Times, June 8, 2020, https://www.ft.com/content/47998ee3– b2d3-4066– a914– edbf60b797b5; «The World Economy on a Tightrope», OECD Economic Outlook (June 2020), https://www.oecd.org/economic-outlook/.

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1321

Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Stephen J. Terry, «COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty», NBER Working Paper No. 26983 (April 2020), https://www.nber.org/papers/w26983.

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1322

«Real-Time Data: The State of Hourly Work at U. S. Small Businesses», Homebase, https://joinhome base.com/data/covid19; Laura Noonan, ‘«Where Is My Loan?’ Small Businesses Miss Out on U. S. Rescue Funds», Financial Times, April 20, 2020, https://www.ft.com/content/e6a06f94-5d2f-43a0–8aac-c7adddca0b0e; Neil Barofsky, «Why the Small-Business Bailout Went to the Big Guys», Bloomberg, April 30, 2020, https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/20200430/why-small-business-bailout-wenttoshake-shack-and-ruthschris.